Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.017851 0.019652 0.021466 0.023427 0.025481 0.027567 0.029839
2025-06-29 0.013978 0.016729 0.019619 0.022862 0.026377 0.030055 0.034175
2025-07-06 0.011228 0.014418 0.017886 0.021889 0.026338 0.031092 0.036516
2025-07-13 0.009921 0.013496 0.017491 0.022204 0.027538 0.033323 0.040009
2025-07-20 0.008616 0.012426 0.016802 0.022073 0.028138 0.034805 0.042597
2025-07-27 0.007506 0.011477 0.016159 0.021909 0.028628 0.036100 0.044920
2025-08-03 0.006944 0.011139 0.016189 0.022486 0.029928 0.038278 0.048204
2025-08-10 0.006080 0.010344 0.015610 0.022290 0.030290 0.039354 0.050214
2025-08-17 0.005291 0.009577 0.015011 0.022026 0.030532 0.040262 0.052004
2025-08-24 0.004658 0.008965 0.014565 0.021913 0.030924 0.041318 0.053943
2025-08-31 0.004052 0.008336 0.014057 0.021688 0.031156 0.042166 0.055624
2025-09-07 0.003583 0.007863 0.013723 0.021657 0.031601 0.043248 0.057563
2025-09-14 0.002975 0.007156 0.013083 0.021271 0.031670 0.043961 0.059172
2025-09-21 0.002371 0.006393 0.012331 0.020722 0.031535 0.044442 0.060532
2025-09-28 0.001756 0.005506 0.011338 0.019801 0.030891 0.044277 0.061097
2025-10-05 0.001533 0.005274 0.011269 0.020100 0.031775 0.045952 0.063841
2025-10-12 0.001242 0.004863 0.010905 0.019975 0.032104 0.046938 0.065753
2025-10-19 0.000985 0.004468 0.010534 0.019821 0.032377 0.047843 0.067560
2025-10-26 0.000890 0.004401 0.010669 0.020367 0.033558 0.049866 0.070712
2025-11-02 0.000684 0.004034 0.010299 0.020181 0.033769 0.050681 0.072397
2025-11-09 0.000503 0.003666 0.009898 0.019931 0.033880 0.051359 0.073909
2025-11-16 0.000370 0.003377 0.009606 0.019823 0.034169 0.052252 0.075677
2025-11-23 0.000252 0.003069 0.009255 0.019611 0.034306 0.052946 0.077193